Study: Mobile phones to be primary Internet device by 2020

Voice-activation and touch technology will be common, Pew study finds
  • (Network World)
  • — 17 December, 2008 08:26

Here are some other results from the Pew report:

55 percent of experts say people will routinely interact in artificial spaces through virtual worlds and other types of "augmented reality." "Most well-equipped Internet users will spend some part of their waking hours -- at work and at play -- at least partially linked to augmentations of the real world or alternate worlds," Pew states. "This lifestyle involves seamless transitions between artificial reality, virtual reality, and the status formerly known as 'real life.'"

Voice-activation and touch will be common technology interfaces by 2020, according to nearly two-thirds of experts. "Air-typing" will become common because of "a small handheld Internet appliance [that] allows you to display and use a full-size virtual keyboard on any flat surface for those moments when you would prefer not to talk aloud to your networked computer."

The current Internet architecture will not be replaced by a completely new system in 2020, but search, security and reliability will have been enhanced by next-generation research, 78 percent of experts agree. (Only 6 percent disagreed, and 16 percent did not respond).

The lines between personal and professional time will be hard to identify, "and that's OK," in the view of 56 percent of Pew's experts.

By 2020, people will be more open to sharing personal information, opinions and emotions because of Internet technology, but experts are split down the middle on whether this new transparency will heighten individual integrity and forgiveness.

Six out of ten experts do not think strict content controls will be in place with copyright-protection technology by 2020.

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Jon Brodkin

Network World
Topics: mobile phones
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